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Déficit : la Cour des comptes exige un « assainissement rigoureux »
Une gestion budgétaire à court terme, une « pesanteur des dépenses », une dette publique qui continue à grimper au point de représenter près de 40 000 euros par actif. Dans son rapport sur l’exécution budgétaire de 2004 présenté hier, la Cour des comptes dresse un bilan accablant de l’état des finances publiques et réclame « un assainissement sérieux ».
Mis en ligne le 23 juin 2005
A LA UNE
Certes, les sages de la rue Cambon ne nient pas que le déficit budgétaire a reculé de 13 milliards par rapport à fin 2003, à 43,9 milliards d’euros. « Cette réduction est la plus forte constatée, sur un an, au cours des vingt dernières années en valeur courante » et « depuis 1976, en variation annuelle de point de PIB », précise même le rapport.
Pourtant, selon la Cour, il faut plus y voir une conséquence de l’amélioration de la conjoncture économique qu’une mise en oeuvre des réformes structurelles qu’exige la situation. Autrement dit, le déficit budgétaire a reculé parce que la croissance a été plus robuste que prévu mais il se serait creusé en cas de ralentissement. Bref, tout se passe comme si Bercy ne pouvait plus compter que sur sa bonne étoile. « Cette embellie n’est que très relative », résumait hier la Cour qui par prudence suggère aussi d’asseoir la construction du budget « sur le taux moyen de croissance observé en France sur une longue période, de l’ordre de 2% ». De fait, tous les autres clignotants sont au rouge. Les comptes sociaux ont terminé l’année avec un déficit plus lourd que l’année précédente (15 milliards). Les collectivités locales sont en déficit pour la première fois depuis dix ans. Et l’Etat continue malgré tout à afficher un lourd déficit.
Dans ce contexte, la dette a grimpé de 7% pour atteindre 1 067 milliards à la fin de l’année dernière. Et, selon la Cour, elle n’est pas prête de se stabiliser. Car, le remboursement des intérêts « fait boule de neige » et la fait gonfler d’année en année. En outre, le solde primaire de l’Etat - autrement dit sa situation financière s’il faisait table rase du passé et ne payait pas les intérêts de cette dette (40 milliards) - affiche quand même un déficit de 4 milliards. D’où la nécessité de réduire les dépenses en engageant « une remise en cause des conditions de fonctionnement de l’administration ou du champ des interventions de l’Etat ».
Or, selon la Cour, non seulement ces réformes n’ont pas été conduites mais l’évolution des dépenses n’est pas aussi sage que le laisse penser le gouvernement. Bercy prône la stabilisation des dépenses en volume, c’est-à-dire une augmentation strictement égale à l’inflation, soit 1,5% en 2004. Sur le papier, l’objectif est « optiquement atteint », affirment les sages. Ils précisent toutefois qu’il se fait au prix d’une forte régulation budgétaire - augmentation des reports et coup de frein sur les dépenses de la Défense en fin d’année - mais aussi de nombreux changements de périmètre.
La plus haute juridiction financière de l’Etat fait aussi état d’une présentation quelque peu arrangeante. Selon la Cour, Bercy n’applique cette norme du « zéro volume » qu’à une partie des dépenses et non à l’ensemble (dépenses brutes). Or, indique le rapport, « les dépenses brutes du budget général augmentent de 2,4%, à 355 milliards », soit un rythme supérieur à celui de 1,5% annoncé par Bercy.
Tout en admettant que ce type de pratique « est neutre pour le solde des administrations publiques », le rapport indique qu’« il contribue optiquement à faire croire que les dépenses de l’Etat sont maîtrisées, sur moyenne période, alors que, seul, leur circuit a été modifié ». Une gestion budgétaire qui, selon la Cour, a pour conséquence de reporter l’assainissement réel des finances de l’Etat à plus tard.
Gilmar S. MARTINS
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